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The main tool in the OECD-FAO agricultural outlook process is a partial equilibrium modelling framework. This effort was started by the OECD in the early 1990s through the development of its AGLINK model, an economic model of world agriculture with very detailed agricultural sector representation of OECD countries as well as Argentina, Brazil, China and Russia. Since 2004, this modelling system has been greatly enhanced through the development by FAO of a similar agricultural model – COSIMO – representing the agricultural sectors in a large number of developing countries. The AGLINK-COSIMO modelling system is presently one of the most comprehensive partial equilibrium models for global agriculture. The model is one of the tools used in the generation of baseline projections underlying the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook. For many countries agricultural policies are specifically modelled within AGLINK-COSIMO. This makes the model a powerful tool for forward looking analysis of domestic and trade policies, comparing scenarios of alternative policy settings against the benchmark of the baseline projections.
This part of the website is password protected and accessible only to AGLINK-COSIMO collaborators in national administrations. However, under certain conditions, other users can be granted access as well to part or the entire model. Through this part of the website users have access to a general description of the model, detailed model documentation, the full set of equations and model parameters and the results of tests carried out in the process of model validation.
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